
Mirror, Mirror on the Wall What is the fairest real estate investment of them all?
By Michael L. McCune
This article represents the inauguration of a new series of monthly
articles for Inside Self-Storage dedicated to the real estate market. In the
future, this column will offer a dialogue with industry experts on the state of
the self-storage and real estate markets. Twice each year, our experts will
focus on each of five regions and national trends. However, we thought we would
kick off the roundup with an article on why self-storage is such a great real
estate investment. This article previously appeared, in part, in the Market
Monitor newsletter. I think you will find it interesting as well as encouraging.
Next month we will look at the Northeast and poll our experts on what is going
on with real estate in that region.
The
self-storage industry has grown up over the last quarter century. In the not too
distant past, everyone in the real estate business thought those little
"tin" buildings just couldn't be worth much--and they certainly
weren't very pretty. The institutional-type investors much preferred to run the
boss out to a new luxury hotel or mega-mall and say, "Look at what we just
bought!" As they were getting they're picture taken with the trophy
project, they thought about how great the picture would look in the annual
report. Meanwhile, the lowly self-storage developer was sitting at his kitchen
table with pencil and calculator in hand saying something like, "Gee, these
numbers sure look good." Slowly but surely, some of the real estate gurus
began to catch on--after they stored some of their junk at a self-storage
facility, did a quick calculation of the rent per square foot and estimated the
costs.
During our rather brief history in the self-storage business, perceptions
have changed somewhat, but not dramatically. The facilities look better, but no
one calls even the best self-storage facility a "trophy." Wall Street
endorsed some self-storage REITs, but now seems to have moderated its appetite.
There was even a brief time recently when the folks east of the Hudson thought
self-storage should be included in portfolios of real estate loans, but that
concept, too, has now faded to near extinction.
A Hidden Beauty Is Found
Despite mainstream real estate investors continuing to yawn about the
self-storage business, I thought we might explore the reasons they overlook the
best of all real estate investments. Having kicked around the real estate
business for the last 30 years--and having worked with just about every type of
property: office, hotel, industrial and retail--I am prepared to make an
argument that self-storage may well be the best type of investment you can make
in the real estate world. It is the "Snow White" of real estate--a
real hidden beauty.
This is not to say all self-storage is better than all other real estate;
but, on average, the income-producing characteristics of well- conceived
self-storage are better than those of other types of real estate. I must warn
you, however, my "mirror on the wall" only reflects certain
attributes, such as product-demand growth, cash flow, return on equity,
break-even risk, additional capital costs and other mundane numbers. If you'd
like the mirror to reflect more subjective criteria--such as annual-report
picture value or suitability of a property as a location for your daughter's
coming-out party--my mirror probably will not suit you. So for the balance of
this article, I am going to make several arguments about the relative merits of
self-storage investments compared to other types of real estate. Let's see how
this reflection compares and see if we think, like the Prince, we have indeed
found Snow White.
It Is a Growth Industry
One significant factor makes self-storage a better bet in the long run than a
lot of other real estate types: Its market is growing faster than the
population. First, only about one-third of Americans have ever used
self-storage. Second, after a period of time--say five years--many self-storage
facilities report most of their business--say 80 percent--is from repeat
customers. If you look at what these statements mean, it is clear customers are
not only discovering self-storage but, more important, they are learning to use
it repeatedly. The point is, the growth of self-storage is not limited to the
population growth in a market. It gets a great boost from "moving up the
learning curve" of the consumer.
Icing on the Cake?
There is one other factor that probably impacts growth demand but is harder
to quantify, and that is the fact self-storage doesn't require a
"body" to make it useful (although there may be one occasionally).
Hotels, apartments, offices and homes all require human beings or they are not
very useful or profitable. Self-storage, on the other hand, thrives on our
fast-growing accumulation of stuff and our emotional attachment to it.
To get a perspective on the potential for self-storage in our society, just
think of all the things you are saving for your children vs. what your parents
saved for you. This is to say nothing of your own "toys" you can't
bear to part with but need a resting place. The net result is the demand for
self- storage is growing very rapidly and in excess of the rate of population
growth--at least for the time being. We also know that fast growth in demand
covers a lot of sins in real estate, but it also enhances our ability to earn
greater returns on our self-storage investments than other types of real estate.
If you want more proof of these arguments, think about what has happened to
self-storage rents over the past 25 years. Despite the fact the industry built
approximately 30,000 facilities in that general time frame, rents have continued
to go up, proving the total demand has exceeded the supply and the population
growth. Of course, you might say rents have gone up for all real estate types,
and that is generally true; but when you think of the relative absorption of
supply in such a short time, the story is truly remarkable.
Cash Flow
I am now going to explain five reasons the cash flow on self-storage is
higher--and probably more secure--than on other kinds of real estate. This
translates to higher returns on your investment, less risk and possibly higher
prices. All of my arguments are based on the assumption a facility is
well-maintained, in a good location and in a rational market (i.e., one that is
not overbuilt). Remember: Even though we believe self-storage is the best real
estate investment, this doesn't mean it will bail out "dumb deals."
Zoning. We all know that securing zoning for self-storage is
becoming more difficult in almost every community. It is not that self-storage
is a bad civic citizen (actually, it's among the best); but it is not glamorous,
there are no sales taxes and the real estate taxes are usually modest. What
planning commission in its right mind would ever approve a project that had no
glamour and didn't produce a lot of taxes? This, of course, tends to restrict
additional development and increase cash returns of existing facilities as
demand builds. If you have a good facility, it is increasingly likely the local
zoning board will not jump through hoops to help developers build potential
competition.
Cap rates. In Chart 1 (compliments of Ray Wilson of Charles Ray
Wilson & Associates), you'll see some national averages of cap rates on
competing real estate types. A cap rate is really the annual return you can
expect on your investment (i.e., a 9 cap rate equals a 9 percent return, etc.).
As the chart shows, the returns on self-storage are generally higher than most
other real estate types. At first glance this looks like only a "so
what" difference, but closer examination shows self-storage will yield 10
percent to 20 percent more in annual cash for the same dollar of purchase price.
Overall Capitalization Rates
Current Range Nationwide
|
| Self-Storage |
9.8% |
to |
11.5% |
| Industrial |
8.0% |
to |
10.0% |
| Neighborhood Retail |
9.0% |
to |
10.5% |
| Office Suburban |
8.5% |
to |
9.8% |
| Apartments |
8.0% |
to |
9.3% |
| Hotels |
9.5% |
to |
11.5% |
| Source: Self Storage
Data Services Inc. and Real Estate Research Corp. |
If you leverage your self-storage investment (i.e., get a mortgage), the
difference in cash-on-cash returns becomes truly impressive. For example,
compare a self-storage facility at a 10 cap rate and another real estate
investment with the same net operating income at an 8.5 cap rate. The
cash-on-cash return on the self-storage is 13.4 percent vs. 7.4 percent on the
other investment (see Chart 2).
Comparison of Cap Rates
|
| Office Buildings |
Self-Storage |
| Cap Rate |
8.5 |
10 |
| Net Operating Income |
$100,000 |
$100,000 |
| Sales Price |
$1,176,000 |
$1,000,000 |
| Loan at 75 percent loan-to-value |
$882,000 |
$750,000 |
| Equity |
$294,000 |
$250,000 |
| Debt Service |
$78,200 |
$66,500 |
| Cash Flow |
$21,800 |
$33,500 |
| Return on Investment |
7.4% |
13.4% |
| Source: Self Storage
Data Services Inc. and Real Estate Research Corp. |
Capital risks. Often times, investors for other types of real estate
overlook the requirement (and risk) for additional capital. Hotels always need
new furnishing and redecorating; office buildings require massive amounts of
tenant finish and commissions; apartments need everything and often. (If you
would like some detailed comparisons, drop me an e-mail and I will send you some
startling numbers on this capital demand.) However, as one industry wag puts it,
self-storage has its own capital requirements to handle--a new broom about every
three months! While this comment is somewhat facetious, the capital demands of a
self-storage facility are very small, not only in relative terms to other real
estate, but also in absolute terms.
Operating costs. Once again, self- storage appears to have an
advantage because the operating costs for self-storage usually have only a small
exposure to volatile energy costs and labor. Many other real estate types have
as much as 70 percent of their operating costs consumed by energy and labor.
Because of the lack of exposure to dramatic changes in these key expense
components, the risk for self- storage is reduced and the consistency of income
is improved.
However, what is a blessing for self- storage is also, in some ways, a curse.
The reason, of course, is the lack of glamour or, as one of my friends in the
self-storage finance business, says, "no glass, no granite." This lack
is a blessing because all of the return comes in the form of cash flow and not
ego satisfaction. While you probably won't hold your daughter's wedding
reception in the parking lot of your facility, you will have the cash flow to
rent the place she really wants.
The curse, however, comes when you sell. Buyers are seldom ever so smitten
with a self-storage facility they forget the numbers. The usual buyer of
self-storage is someone just like you--in it for the money. In almost every
case, the buyer already owns a storage facility, knows the market cap rates and
operating costs, and refuses to overpay. Thus, it is unlikely you will find the
"greater fool" who will pay above market cap rates, or the
non-self-storage investor who will take the time and energy to understand the
product and bid up the price to his own detriment. While we can earn great
returns as owners, we aren't likely to sell a project on cap rates much
different than those we bought it on--although, from time to time, cap rates do
vary.
Sometime in the future, as the market gets better educated on self-storage,
we may see these cap rates decline and our selling prices increase. But in the
meantime, just enjoy the returns. When someone asks the question, "Mirror,
mirror on the wall, what is the fairest real estate investment of them
all?" and the mirror provides an accurate reflection, it is likely there
will be a series of bright blue garage doors staring back.
Michael L. McCune has been actively involved in commerical real estate
throughout the United States for more than 20 years. Since 1984, he has been
owner and president of Argus Real Estate Inc., a real-estate consulting,
brokerage and development company based in Denver. In January 1994, he created
the Argus Self Storage Real Estate Network, now the nation's largest network of
independent commercial real-estate brokers dedicated to the buying and selling
of self-storage facilities. For more information, call 800.55.STORE or visit www.selfstorage.com.
|